Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 9
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Sky Sport 257
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	HBO Max
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 3
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
South-america	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360


	Saint-Gilloise		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3
	3.05	3.55	2.38
	3.06	3.54	2.38
	3.03	3.56	2.38
	2.9	3.4	2.3
	3.1	3.54	2.44
	3	3.4	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.03)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
31.8%

Draw
27.5%

Olympique Marseille
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

26.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.2%	20.3%	69.5%

Saint Gilloise - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 41 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 59% – 82.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Union SG (2.16) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Marseille (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 3 - 12%). Marseille (votes: 21 - 84%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 22. Niang O. 17. Schoofs R. 30. Florucz R. 13. Rodriguez K.	1. Rulli G. (G) 22. Weah T. 62. Murillo M. 21. Aguerd N. 33. Emerson 18. Vermeeren A. 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 17. O'Riley M. 10. Greenwood M. 97. Aubameyang P. 14. Paixao I.
Substitutes
10. Ait El Hadj A. 3. Barry M. T. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 12. David P. 20. Giger M. 11. Guilherme Smith 27. Patris L. 4. Rasmussen M. 26. Sykes R.	50. Bakola D. 5. Balerdi L. 12. De Lange J. (G) 4. Egan-Riley C. 6. Garcia U. 8. Gomes A. 19. Kondogbia G. 76. Mmadi T. 26. Nadir B. 28. Pavard B. 40. Van Neck J. (G) 34. Vaz R.
Coaches
Hubert D.	Abardonado J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Khalaili A. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Paixao I. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
28', Weah T. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Weah T. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Greenwood M. ⚽, O'Riley M. (A),
59', Burgess C. 🟨,
63', Schoofs R. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
63', Florucz R. ↓, David P. ↑,
68', Zorgane A. 🟨,
69', O'Riley M. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
71', 2 - 3, Khalaili A. ⚽,
80', Niang O. 🟨,
82', Van De Perre K. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
82', Rodriguez K. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
88', Aubameyang P. ↓, Kondogbia G. ↑,
88', Greenwood M. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
90', David P. 🟨,
90+2', Niang O. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Union SG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Union SG: Francois G. (Inactive) Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury) Pavlic I. (Inactive) Teunckens J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Inactive) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Lirola P. (Inactive) Maupay N. (Inactive) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury) Vermot T. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Olympique Marseille - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.11.25	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Galatasaray - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.11.25	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLWW
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Lille - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.11.25	Nice - Olympique Marseille	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Brest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWW

Upcoming Matches