Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Referee: Fukushima K. (Jpn)


	Cerezo Osaka		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.33
	1.73	3.7	4.27	Watch
	1.76	3.98	4.59
	1.76	4.02	4.58
	1.67	3.8	4.2
	1.77	3.97	4.33	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)	3.87 ↑ (3.68)	4.46 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
54.5%

Draw
24.4%

Consadole Sapporo
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cerezo Osaka - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 2. Maikuma S. 24. Toriumi K. 14. Funaki K. 6. Noborizato K. 10. Tanaka S. 48. Shibayama M. 25. Okuno H. 11. Croux J. 9. Leo Ceara 77. Fernandes L.	1. Sugeno T. (G) 88. Baba S. 15. Ieizumi R. 4. Suga D. 33. Kondo T. 14. Komai Y. 27. Arano T. 11. Aoki R. 18. Asano Y. 19. Sarachat S. 7. Suzuki M.
Substitutes
8. Kagawa S. 38. Kitano S. 16. Okuda H. 19. Tameda H. 7. Uejo S. 34. Yamada H. 1. Yang Han-Been (G)	16. Hasegawa T. 13. Kim Gun-Hee 99. Kobayashi Y. 17. Kodama J. (G) 6. Nakamura T. 2. Takao R. 37. Tanaka K.
Coaches
Kogiku A.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Asano Y. ⚽, Sarachat S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Croux J. ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
58', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
58', Okuno H. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Leo Ceara (Pen),
80', Kondo T. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
83', Suga D. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
89', Fernandes L. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
90+3', Sarachat S. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
90+3', Suzuki M. ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Cerezo Osaka is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
27.04.24	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
27.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Shonan Bellmare	3:3 ✺
20.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Consadole Sapporo	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Albirex Niigata - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
24.06.23	Consadole Sapporo - Cerezo Osaka	1:4
09.04.23	Cerezo Osaka - Consadole Sapporo	2:3
02.09.22	Consadole Sapporo - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
19.03.22	Cerezo Osaka - Consadole Sapporo	2:2
11.09.21	Cerezo Osaka - Consadole Sapporo	0:2
08.09.21	Consadole Sapporo - Cerezo Osaka	0:3
05.12.20	Consadole Sapporo - Cerezo Osaka	1:3

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