Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 4

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.21	2.97	3.06	Watch
	2.35	3.24	3.36
	2.3	3.25	3.26	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.29	3.32	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	3.19 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
41.2%

Draw
29.5%

Cerezo Osaka
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fujita K. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 3. Inamura H. 31. Horigome Y. 28. Ota S. 19. Hoshi Y. 22. Arai T. 7. Taniguchi K. 41. Hasegawa M. 9. Yamura K.	21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 16. Okuda H. 33. Nishio R. 44. Hatanaka S. 14. Funaki K. 10. Tanaka S. 55. Vitor Bueno 38. Kitano S. 77. Fernandes L. 13. Nakajima M. 11. Thiago Andrade
Substitutes
11. Danilo Gomes 2. Geria J. 16. Komi Y. 38. Mori K. 13. Ochiai R. 30. Okumura J. 33. Takagi Y. 18. Wakatsuki Y. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)	1. Fukui K. (G) 8. Kagawa S. 5. Kida H. 2. Nakamura T. 9. Rafael Ratao 17. Sakata R. 48. Shibayama M. 22. Takahashi N. 7. Uejo S.
Coaches
Kimori D.	Papastamatis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Yamura K. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Nakajima M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
54', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
54', Funaki K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Hasegawa M. ⚽, Horigome Y. (A),
63', Vitor Bueno ↓, Kida H. ↑,
64', Taniguchi K. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
64', Ota S. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
69', Hoshi Y. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
74', Tanaka S. 🟨,
75', Okuda H. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
75', Fernandes L. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
80', Kida H. 🟨,
84', Yamura K. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
84', Hasegawa M. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Rafael Ratao ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.

Niigata will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Muscle Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Niigata won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:17 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League
26.02.25	Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Albirex Niigata	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTL
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
26.02.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka	2:5 ✺
08.12.24	Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
20.07.24	Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata	1:2
07.04.24	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	0:1
03.12.23	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	1:0
18.02.23	Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata	2:2
Japan Emperors Cup
04.08.21	Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata	3:2
Japan J1 League
02.12.17	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.17	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	2:3 ET

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