The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka 40.1%
Draw 27.5%
Nagoya Grampus 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
27.8%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
29.2%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 4. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 16. Okuda H. 18. Ishiwatari N. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 48. Shibayama M. 13. Nakajima M. 14. Yokoyama Y. 11. Thiago Andrade
1. Schmidt D. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 13. Fujii H. 55. Tokumoto S. 9. Asano Y. 17. Uchida T. 31. Takamine T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. (C) 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
19. Homma S. 8. Kagawa S. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 6. Noborizato K. 66. Ohata A. 9. Sakuragawa S. 3. Tanaka H. 7. Uejo S.
19. Koda H. 20. Mikuni K. 44. Mori S. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 3. Sato Y. 30. Sugiura S. 66. Yamanaka R.
Coaches
Papas A.
Petrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Yokoyama Y. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Yokoyama Y. ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, Kimura Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', Okuda H. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
54', 4 - 1, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Ishiwatari N. (A),
60', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
60', Uchida T. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
67', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
67', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
67', Nakayama K. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
79', Ohata A. 🟨,
82', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
82', Shibayama M. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
82', Nakajima M. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
83', Nogami Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
89', 6 - 1, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
Cerezo Osaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nagoya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Sakata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Yengi K.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)
Morishima T.
(Muscle Injury)
Sato Y.
(Eye injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Hara T.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Cerezo Osaka: 1.92% Nagoya Grampus: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Nagoya Grampus
4
2
0
2
6:5
1
6
10
Cerezo Osaka
4
2
0
2
3:5
-2
6
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.15%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Nakamura K. (G) 
Cools D. 
Thiago Andrade 
Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 
Papas A. 
Petrovic M. 
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