Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerrito		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.34	3.07	3.12
	2.14	3.27	3.37	Watch
	2.25	3	3.05
	2.26	3.36	3.05	Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	3.11 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
41.4%

Draw
29.3%

Miramar Misiones
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cerrito - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Yepez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Miramar Misiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cerrito will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:10. (average 1.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cerrito	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Last Results with these Odds

Miramar Misiones - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.89%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Cerrito - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	La Luz - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	6:4 ✺
07.06.26	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLLW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.07.26	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
07.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.11.23	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:6
18.06.23	Miramar Misiones - Cerrito	2:2
02.04.23	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	2:2

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