Match Info

URUGUAY: COPA URUGUAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Cerrito		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.7
	4.06	3.4	1.77
	4.8	3.8	1.59
	3.85	3.5	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.84)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
21.3%

Draw
26%

Defensor Sporting
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

26.7%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Cerrito - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Defensor Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Defensor Sporting is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.23	Progreso - Cerrito	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	2:6 ✺
14.10.23	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
11.10.23	Basáñez - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.10.23	Cerrito - Sud América	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTWW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.10.23	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	La Luz - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.09.22	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	1:2
19.06.22	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	1:2
25.04.22	Defensor Sporting - Cerrito	0:0
04.03.12	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	0:2

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