Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)

Referee: Gonzalez Ignacio


	Cerrito		Boston River

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.7	3.1	1.98	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.81
	3.65	3.2	1.96
	4.02	3.38	2.04
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	3.84	3.24	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.72)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
24.3%

Draw
28.5%

Boston River
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.3%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

Cerrito - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cerrito will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Boston River will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston River: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Cerrito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boston River is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boston River will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.22	Danubio - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
25.07.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1 ✺
21.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	5:0 ✺
16.07.22	Boston River - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
11.07.22	Cerrito - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLL
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.07.22	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
20.07.22	Boston River - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
16.07.22	Boston River - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
10.07.22	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.07.22	Boston River - Cerrito	1:0
13.02.22	Boston River - Cerrito	0:1
21.10.21	Boston River - Cerrito	3:2
22.06.21	Cerrito - Boston River	1:0

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