Match Info

Date: 31 July 2022, Sunday

Referee: Riveiro D. (Uru)


	Danubio		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.49	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.41	3.85	7
	1.46	3.8	6.4
	1.47	4.26	8
	1.47	3.6	7
	1.48	3.95	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)	3.92 ↑ (3.84)	6.82 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
62.9%

Draw
23.5%

Cerrito
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.7%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Danubio - Cerrito Predictions

Users Predictions: Danubio will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Danubio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerrito has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Danubio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Danubio is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.07.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1 ✺
21.07.22	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
17.07.22	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
25.06.22	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.07.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1 ✺
21.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	5:0 ✺
16.07.22	Boston River - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
11.07.22	Cerrito - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
26.06.22	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.07.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1
08.02.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1
08.04.12	Cerrito - Danubio	1:0

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