Match Info

Date: 19 August 2022, Friday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Referee: Alvarez Y. (Uru)


	Cerrito		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	2.05	Watch
	3.75	2.9	2.05	Watch
	3.85	2.88	2
	3.6	2.9	2.08
	4.24	3.04	2.13
	3.8	2.75	2.1
	3.85	2.95	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.43)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.07 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
24%

Draw
31.5%

Cerro Largo
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.8%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

31%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	29%	58.1%

Cerrito - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Cerrito will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Largo: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Cerrito has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cerro Largo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cerro Largo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cerro Largo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.08.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Cerrito - Boston River	0:3 ✺
31.07.22	Danubio - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
25.07.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1 ✺
21.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLL
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.08.22	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
06.08.22	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
25.07.22	Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
20.07.22	Boston River - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.07.22	Cerrito - Cerro Largo	0:2
22.03.22	Cerro Largo - Cerrito	1:0
18.09.21	Cerrito - Cerro Largo	1:1
22.05.21	Cerro Largo - Cerrito	3:1
29.04.12	Cerro Largo - Cerrito	2:0

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