Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)


	Nacional Montevideo		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.18	6	10
	1.19	6.5	13	Watch
	1.16	5.75	13
	1.18	5.8	13
	1.19	6.98	17.21
	1.15	5.5	19
	1.18	6.45	15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	6.14 ↑ (5.67)	14.32 ↑ (10.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
78.5%

Draw
15%

Cerrito
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	33.3%	13.3%

Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Cerrito will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: Final) and 8).

Nacional in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cerrito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cerrito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.07.22	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
09.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.07.22	Unión Santa Fe - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
28.06.22	Nacional Montevideo - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.06.22	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.07.22	Boston River - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
11.07.22	Cerrito - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
26.06.22	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
19.06.22	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
10.06.22	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
28.05.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	3:0
18.11.21	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0
08.08.21	Cerrito - Nacional Montevideo	2:0
15.04.12	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	6:1

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