Match Info

Date: 25 July 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)

Referee: Arman F. (Uru)


	Cerrito		Danubio

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.83	Watch
	4.4	3.1	1.85	Watch
	4	3.05	1.87
	4.1	3.15	1.85
	4.81	3.43	1.86
	4.4	3	1.85
	4.7	3.13	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.7)	3.14 ↑ (3.07)	1.85 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerrito
21%

Draw
29.3%

Danubio
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

30.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

32.8%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Danubio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	38.1%	57.1%

Cerrito - Danubio Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cerrito will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Danubio will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Danubio: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 7).

Cerrito has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Danubio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Danubio is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Cerrito	5:0 ✺
16.07.22	Boston River - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
11.07.22	Cerrito - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
26.06.22	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
19.06.22	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.07.22	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
17.07.22	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
25.06.22	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.06.22	Boston River - Danubio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1
08.04.12	Cerrito - Danubio	1:0

Upcoming Matches