Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 5

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)


	Deportivo Maldonado		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.7	3
	1.95	2.98	3.85
	2.09	2.96	3.73
	2.02	3.11	4.01	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.3
	1.96	3.02	3.88
	1.95	2.98	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)	3.66 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
43.8%

Draw
31.3%

Rampla Juniors
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

31.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maldonado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, de Leon E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 13).

Recent performances by Maldonado have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rampla Juniors has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Maldonado is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Maldonado won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Tacuarembó - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
19.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLTT
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Rampla Juniors - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.03.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.11.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:1
27.04.24	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
Uruguay Copa
06.09.22	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1

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