Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.85	4.1
	1.99	2.9	4
	2	3.12	4.13
	2	3.05	4.19	Watch
	2	2.75	4.4
	1.95	2.93	4.09
	1.99	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.36)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	4.13 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
46.5%

Draw
31.3%

Rampla Juniors
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.2%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uruguay Montevideo's performance.

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rampla Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uruguay Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rampla Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Olavarria L. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Tabo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 1.

In recent matches, Uruguay Montevideo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rampla Juniors is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Uruguay Montevideo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Uruguay Montevideo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.05.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.05.25	Rampla Juniors - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.01.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:3
15.01.24	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0
06.11.23	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	4:1
18.06.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:0
11.03.23	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	3:1
09.10.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1
02.10.22	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0

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