Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cerro		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.35	2.98	2.18
	3.38	2.97	2.42
	3.57	2.98	2.23	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.15
	3.54	3.03	2.19	Watch
	3.25	3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.66)	2.97 ↓ (3.06)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
26.9%

Draw
31.2%

Liverpool Montevideo
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Liverpool (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 18. Sena N. 20. Butti F. 16. Guasone J. 17. Rodriguez G. 5. Macelli A. 31. Amaro J. 27. Barros C. 32. Mederos R. 35. Nongoy P. 29. Paiva S.	25. Campana M. (G) 17. de Mello G. 23. Castillo E. 15. Laquidain S. 27. Romero D. 5. Garayalde N. . Acosta L. 10. Degregorio R. M. 22. Zabala D. 29. Olivera E. 11. Bentancourt R.
Substitutes
22. Cambon A. 40. Capdevila D. (G) 23. Farias M. 3. Lima A. 21. Mendez A. 8. Miranda A. 9. Morales B. 7. Severo A. 14. Soria N. 15. Zamurio A.	32. Barrenechea F. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 28. Castillo J. 34. Lewis K. 9. Machado R. 7. Martinez F. 8. Mir M. 4. Perdomo F. 20. Rabunal M. 3. Strasorier S.
Coaches
Abeijon N.	Speranza C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
34', Butti F. 🟨,
39', Castillo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Olivera E. ↓, Rabunal M. ↑,
56', Amaro J. 🟨,
63', Paiva S. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
63', Mederos R. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
63', Acosta L. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
63', Romero D. ↓, Lewis K. ↑,
73', Amaro J. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
75', Garayalde N. ↓, Perdomo F. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Severo A. ⚽,
79', Sena N. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Martinez F. ⚽,
83', Guasone J. 🟨,
84', Macelli A. 🟨,
84', Laquidain S. 🟨,
86', Zabala D. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
89', Nongoy P. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2.

Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Liverpool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.01%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cerro - Danubio	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
14.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Cerro - Boston River	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cerro - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLTT
- Liverpool Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
24.08.25	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1
25.05.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	0:0
22.02.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	2:1
30.11.24	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	1:3
21.07.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	0:1
03.06.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	0:3
24.11.23	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1

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