Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 2d 14h 📅 Remind Me


	Cerro		Central Español

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3.00	2.90
	2.35	3	2.95
	2.49	3.1	3.06
	2.43	3.07	3.01	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3
	2.4	2.92	2.89	Watch
	2.31	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 (2.38)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.96 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
38.6%

Draw
30.4%

Central Español
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

30%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Central Español have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cerro - Central Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3.

Cerro has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Central Español has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Central Español may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Cerro has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	12	5	3	4	14:17	-3	18

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.05%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Central Español - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.10.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro	3:1 ✺
16.10.26	Cerro - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Defensor Sporting - Cerro	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWLT
- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.10.26	Central Español - Albion Montevideo	1:3 ✺
18.10.26	Danubio - Central Español	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
15.10.26	Central Español - Danubio	0:6 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.26	Central Español - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Cerro - Central Español	1:0
26.04.26	Central Español - Cerro	3:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.08.22	Cerro - Central Español	2:0
13.05.22	Central Español - Cerro	1:2
28.09.21	Cerro - Central Español	0:0
16.06.21	Central Español - Cerro	3:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.05.13	Central Español - Cerro	0:2

Cerro - Central Español