Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Uruguay	13:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+


	Montevideo City Torque		Cerro

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.7	6	Watch
	1.53	3.90	5.25
	1.5	3.85	5.5
	1.56	4.18	6.36
	1.54	4.05	5.9	Watch
	1.5	3.85	6.25
	1.54	3.85	6.24	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	3.92 ↓ (4.09)	5.88 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
60.8%

Draw
23.5%

Cerro
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.8%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 14. Zampieri S. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 19. Guzman D. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 7. Andrade L.	12. Irrazabal Y. (G) 22. Suarez D. 16. Guasone J. 21. Arena N. 17. Rodriguez G. 31. Amaro J. 5. Macelli A. (C) 8. Miranda A. 10. Aleman B. 27. Barros C. 35. Nongoy P.
Substitutes
15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 22. Gutierrez B. 18. Lecchini R. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 31. Shaw T. 27. Taran J.	6. Bregante F. 1. Denis D. (G) 11. Forclaz E. 3. Lima A. 32. Mederos R. 9. Morales B. 14. Rodriguez E. 7. Severo A. 19. Sosa E. 20. Villar M.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Cappuccio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Pizzichillo F. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Miranda A. ⚽,
30', Rodriguez S. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 1 - 1, Aguero E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
55', Nongoy P. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
55', Aleman B. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽,
59', Suarez D. 🟨,
64', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽,
69', Arena N. ↓, Villar M. ↑,
69', Barros C. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
71', Andrade L. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
76', Miranda A. ↓, Forclaz E. ↑,
79', Obregon E. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
88', Zampieri S. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
88', Rodriguez S. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
89', Silva K. 🟥,
89', Torgnascioli F. 🟨,
90+2', Guasone J. 🟨,
90+3', Amaro J. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Cerro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Montevideo City for this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Montevideo City has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:7 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montevideo City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.2:0.6 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montevideo City	12	8	1	3	24:13	11	25
8	CA Cerro	12	5	3	4	14:17	-3	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Copa Sudamericana
21.10.26	Montevideo City Torque - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.10.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Montevideo City Torque	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.10.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWL
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.10.26	Cerro - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Defensor Sporting - Cerro	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
19.04.26	Cerro - Montevideo City Torque	1:1
18.10.25	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro	1:2
20.04.25	Cerro - Montevideo City Torque	1:2
18.11.23	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro	1:0
16.04.23	Cerro - Montevideo City Torque	0:2
31.01.21	Cerro - Montevideo City Torque	1:3
22.11.20	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro	3:0

Upcoming Matches