Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cerro		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.87	2.55
	2.82	2.88	2.58	Watch
	3.05	2.79	2.88
	2.97	2.83	2.63	Watch
	2.87	2.87	2.68	Watch
	3	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.99)	2.94 ↓ (3.23)	2.6 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
32.3%

Draw
31.8%

Cerro Largo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Cerro - Cerro Largo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cerro (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bacchia R. (G) 4. Suarez M. 2. Salaberry H. 5. Villar M. 6. Frugone A. 7. Macelli A. 30. Neira I. 8. Miranda A. 10. Ocampo M. 9. Larrosa E. 31. Morales B.	24. Santilli G. (G) 13. Vazquez L. 5. Di Pippa A. 2. Parada F. 18. Gonzalez C. 15. Assis S. 25. Perez A. 8. Garcia M. 16. Olivera E. 28. Gabriel Rossetto 9. Rossi F.
Substitutes
20. Aires A. 22. Alvarez J. 27. Camacho S. 15. Cuello E. 26. Da Rosa C. 23. Farias M. 28. Fuica N. 21. Nichele M. 33. Rodriguez F. (G) 19. Techera F.	10. Anasco M. 6. Bonifazi F. 19. Brasil M. 14. Correa L. 26. Cuello 20. Delgado F. 4. Ferrares B. 27. Medina F. 29. Perez I. 1. Pintado F. (G)
Coaches
Silva T.	Nunez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ocampo M. 🟥,
27', Perez A. 🟨,
42', Parada F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Olivera E. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
46', Perez A. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
46', Neira I. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Anasco M. ⚽,
59', Frugone A. 🟨,
60', Medina F. 🟨,
62', Anasco M. 🟨,
63', Frugone A. ↓, Nichele M. ↑,
63', Salaberry H. ↓, Fuica N. ↑,
65', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
70', Vazquez L. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
71', Assis S. 🟨,
74', Miranda A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
74', Morales B. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
77', Gonzalez C. ↓, Bonifazi F. ↑,
79', Suarez M. 🟥,
82', Villar M. 🟨,
88', Rossi F. ↓, Perez I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.

Cerro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerro Largo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.08.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Plaza Colonia - Cerro	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWLT
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.09.25	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Miramar Misiones - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Cerro Largo - Danubio	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Progreso - Cerro Largo	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
05.08.25	Rincón - Cerro Largo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
19.06.25	Cerro - Cerro Largo	2:1
17.03.25	Cerro Largo - Cerro	0:0
28.09.24	Cerro Largo - Cerro	3:1
14.07.24	Cerro - Cerro Largo	0:1
24.03.24	Cerro - Cerro Largo	1:1
30.11.23	Cerro Largo - Cerro	0:0
02.07.23	Cerro Largo - Cerro	0:1

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