Match Info

Date: 24 November 2021, Wednesday


	Cerro		Rocha

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.9	3.3	4
	1.87	3.35	3.65
	1.88	3.35	4.05
	1.83	3.1	4.2
	1.84	3.42	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.5)	3.32 ↓ (3.62)	3.94 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
49.3%

Draw
27.5%

Rocha
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

25%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

20.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro's form might have worsened.

Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+24.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rocha than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cerro - Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Play Offs) and 12).

Cerro is Qualified for Segunda Division (Play Offs)

Cerro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rocha is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.11.21	Danubio - Cerro	0:0 ✺
10.11.21	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	1:2 ✺
02.11.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerro	1:2 ✺
28.10.21	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
19.10.21	Villa Teresa - Cerro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWWW
- Rocha FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.11.21	Albion Montevideo - Rocha	0:1 ✺
09.11.21	Rocha - Danubio	1:2 ✺
01.11.21	Rampla Juniors - Rocha	2:1 ✺
27.10.21	Rocha - Uruguay Montevideo	1:2 ✺
19.10.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Rocha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.08.21	Rocha - Cerro	1:3

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