Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Torneo Intermedio - Round 7

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Troccoli (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play


	Cerro		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.14	3.32	3.74
	2.11	3.25	3.52	Watch
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.08	3.29	3.51	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro
44.5%

Draw
28.5%

Rampla Juniors
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

27.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Cerro - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cubero M. (G) 4. Alvarez E. 3. Gonzalez M. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 16. Abero M. 24. Berrios J. 5. Macelli A. 22. Femia E. 10. Ramirez S. 9. Gonzalez N. 99. Scorza B.	12. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 4. Graces A. 8. Gabriel G. 18. Adoryan T. 26. Nunez M. 28. Casuriaga F. 10. Machado G. 15. Plada J. 19. Burruzo M.
Substitutes
1. Bonifazi I. (G) 21. Gorgoroso Y. 6. Marin R. 2. Peralta Bauer G. A. 7. Peralta M. 23. Pereira I. 8. Petillo N. 20. Rabunal M. 11. Rodriguez L. 14. Rodriguez M.	22. Dibble N. 23. Etcheverry J. E. 1. Freitas A. (G) 21. Leites A. 33. Matias Canedo 5. Mendez I. 13. Mozzone E. 7. Rinaldi L. 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J.
Coaches
Pallas I.	Martinez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Macelli A. ⚽,
22', Centurion L. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Gonzalez N. (Pen),
38', Plada J. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
38', Casuriaga F. ↓, Rinaldi L. ↑,
45', Dibble N. 🟨,
45', Scorza B. 🟨,
45+2', Ramirez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Gonzalez N. (Pen),
52', 3 - 1, Rinaldi L. ⚽,
55', Abero M. 🟨,
57', Rinaldi L. 🟨,
60', Graces A. 🟨,
63', Scorza B. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
64', Graces A. ↓, Etcheverry J. E. ↑,
66', Machado G. ↓, Leites A. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Femia E. ⚽,
68', Dibble N. 🟥,
80', Ramirez S. ↓, Pereira I. ↑,
81', Lacoste P. ↓, Rabunal M. ↑,
81', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gorgoroso Y. ↑,
87', Berrios J. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 3.

Cerro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rampla Juniors is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rampla Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Cerro won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.07.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Cerro - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Boston River - Cerro	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Cerro - Danubio	0:0 ✺
14.06.24	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTL
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.07.24	Cerro Largo - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	3:2 ✺
07.07.24	Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Rampla Juniors - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	3:0
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.10.22	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	0:0
16.10.22	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	0:1
03.09.22	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	2:2
12.06.22	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	1:0
10.11.21	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	1:2
31.07.21	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	0:1

Upcoming Matches