Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday


	Cerro		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	2.5	2.95	2.7
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.61	2.91	2.85
	2.55	3	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.81)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
35.9%

Draw
31.1%

Uruguay Montevideo
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uruguay Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Cerro - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura)).

Recent matches Cerro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uruguay Montevideo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguay Copa
13.07.22	Durazno - Cerro	3:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerro	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	Progreso - Cerro	0:0 ✺
12.06.22	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
05.06.22	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWL
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
20.07.22	Basáñez - Uruguay Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:1 ✺
22.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Villa Española	1:3 ✺
12.06.22	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.04.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerro	3:1
02.11.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerro	1:2
21.07.21	Cerro - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1

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