Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Boston River

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.70
	2.55	3.15	2.50
	2.53	3.21	3.06
	2.74	3.05	2.69	Watch
	2.40	3.15	3.00
	2.45	3.22	2.86	Watch
	2.40	3.10	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.77)	3.14 ↑ (2.97)	2.79 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
37.3%

Draw
29.5%

Boston River
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Cerro Largo - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 3. Piegas A. 19. Prado A. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 5. Marcel S. 15. Assis S. (C) 7. Viera G. 26. de Leon E. 10. Pandiani A.	1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 25. Aguirre A. 22. Martinez F. 15. Vazquez L. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 16. Suhr L. 10. Amado A. 26. Munoa F. 9. Bonfiglio F.
Substitutes
13. Barone B. 22. Bertocchi N. 18. Daguerre D. 11. de Luca A. 6. Ergas R. 32. Gianoli M. 24. Gonzalez L. (G) 30. Hernandez B. 25. Jourdan E. 23. Pipe	13. Aristegui F. 20. Avenatti F. 4. Fernandez I. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 3. Mancebo M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 11. Ramirez G. 6. Saravia F. 27. Siri N. 8. Suarez L.
Coaches
Silva B.	Cazulo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Prado A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Prado A. ↓, Gianoli M. ↑,
46', Viera G. ↓, Pipe ↑,
61', Amado A. 🟨,
61', Munoa F. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Pipe ⚽,
72', Pandiani A. ↓, Daguerre D. ↑,
74', Amado A. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
74', Vazquez L. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
75', Martinez F. ↓, Saravia F. ↑,
81', Suarez L. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Piegas A. ⚽,
83', Acosta J. 🟨,
85', Aguirre A. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
86', Assis S. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
90+3', de Leon E. ↓, Barone B. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Cerro Largo (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Boston River shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Boston River could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:21 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro Largo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:6 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Boston River	12	4	3	5	14:15	-1	15
14	Cerro Largo	12	1	6	5	9:14	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro Largo - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.67%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Boston River - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.93%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguay Copa
21.10.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.10.26	Cerro - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Danubio - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.26	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
14.10.26	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.10.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Cerro Largo - Boston River	3:0
20.04.26	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0
11.10.25	Cerro Largo - Boston River	2:2
13.04.25	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0
02.11.24	Boston River - Cerro Largo	3:0
17.06.24	Boston River - Cerro Largo	0:2
27.04.24	Cerro Largo - Boston River	2:0

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