Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Boston River

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.95
	2.22	3.1	3.15
	2.32	3.24	3.38
	2.31	3.15	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.25	3.18	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)	3.14 ↑ (2.99)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
41%

Draw
29.7%

Boston River
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

31.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Cerro Largo - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston River (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 3. Piegas A. 16. Fracchia M. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. (C) 5. Marcel S. 11. Anasco M. 7. Viera G. 9. Correa T.	1. Antunez B. (G) 17. Haller R. 2. Sotto K. 23. Rivero M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 14. Dafonte F. 10. Amado A. (C) 16. Suhr L. 26. Munoa F. 28. Gonzalez Y. 9. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
13. Barone B. 22. Bertocchi N. 2. Chocobar G. F. 18. Daguerre D. 25. Jourdan E. 1. Moreno J. (G) 21. Pou J. 28. Ramos N. 19. Sellecchia F. 4. Souza F.	25. Aguirre A. 27. Diogo A. 13. Fernandez I. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 20. Hornos M. 3. Mancebo M. 21. Perez F. 11. Ramirez G. 99. Reyna G.
Coaches
Ordonez I.	Ithurralde I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Correa T. ⚽,
46', Hernandez A. 🟨,
49', Dafonte F. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
54', Marcel S. 🟨,
61', Amado A. 🟨,
66', Gonzalez A. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
66', O'Neill Lopez J. S. ↓, Mancebo M. ↑,
68', Viera G. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
78', Rivero M. 🟨,
79', Anasco M. ↓, Daguerre D. ↑,
79', Garcia M. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
89', Correa T. ↓, Barone B. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Barone B. ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.

Cerro Largo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boston River's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boston River may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.05.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Progreso - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Boston River
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Boston River - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Boston River - Cerro	4:1 ✺
11.05.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Boston River - Millonarios	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Boston River - Central Español	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
20.04.26	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0
11.10.25	Cerro Largo - Boston River	2:2
13.04.25	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0
02.11.24	Boston River - Cerro Largo	3:0
17.06.24	Boston River - Cerro Largo	0:2
27.04.24	Cerro Largo - Boston River	2:0
03.12.23	Boston River - Cerro Largo	0:1

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