Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 6

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)

Referee: Fontes K. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Cerro Largo		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
				Watch
	2.23	2.95	4
				Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.4
	2.1	3.11	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.46)	2.99 ↑ (2.94)	3.57 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
42.7%

Draw
31.2%

Plaza Colonia
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

31.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Cerro Largo - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Santilli G. (G) 14. Correa L. 5. Di Pippa A. 21. Gianoli M. 16. Bonifazi F. 8. Mir M. 15. Assis S. 22. Bertocchi N. 30. Hernandez B. 10. Otormin L. 29. Affonso M.	25. Silva J. (G) 20. Redin E. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 18. Cayetano A. 16. Velazquez M. 17. Otegui S. 27. Barros C. 23. Piriz F. 11. Pablo Garcia 9. Alex Bruno 10. Ebere C.
Substitutes
11. Anasco M. 7. Contrera J. 17. Garcia A. 18. Gonzalez C. 28. Gonzalez T. 27. Medina F. 13. Peraza F. 25. Perez A. 1. Pintado F. (G) 9. Rossi F.	80. Carrizo L. 13. Garcia J. 2. Lorenzi M. 30. Ocampo A. 22. Ramos J. 6. Redin M. 44. Reyes G. (G) 19. Ricca E. 33. Silveira J. 8. Villalba D.
Coaches
Nunez D.	Diaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Cayetano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hernandez B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
46', Mir M. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
64', Alex Bruno ↓, Carrizo L. ↑,
70', Otormin L. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
70', Affonso M. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
76', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
76', Correa L. 🟨,
81', Barros C. ↓, Lorenzi M. ↑,
81', Cayetano A. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
81', Pablo Garcia ↓, Redin M. ↑,
83', Correa L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Lorenzi M. ⚽,
90+3', Ebere C. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cerro Largo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.06.25	Cerro - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.25	Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LTLTW
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.06.25	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
13.06.25	Plaza Colonia - Cerro	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.25	Cerro Largo - Plaza Colonia	2:1
18.11.23	Cerro Largo - Plaza Colonia	4:0
04.06.23	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	3:3
15.04.23	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:0
Uruguay Copa
21.09.22	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.08.22	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:0
20.06.22	Cerro Largo - Plaza Colonia	1:0

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