Match Info

Date: 22 August 2021, Sunday


	Cerro Largo		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.79	3.35	4.1
	1.83	3.65	4.62
	1.83	3.25	4
	1.83	3.52	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.89)	3.44 ↑ (3.43)	4.03 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
50.4%

Draw
26.8%

Villa Española
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

20.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Largo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Cerro Largo - Villa Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Villa Española could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerro Largo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.21	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
06.08.21	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
30.07.21	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	1:3 ✺
17.07.21	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
11.07.21	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWL
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.21	Villa Española - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
08.08.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Villa Española	2:2 ✺
02.08.21	Villa Española - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
25.07.21	Nacional Montevideo - Villa Española	3:0 ✺
10.07.21	Villa Española - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTTLW

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