Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Referee: Motta S. (Uru)


	Rentistas		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.87	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9	Watch
	2.43	3.05	2.7
	2.44	2.9	2.9
	2.64	3.12	3
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.47	3.13	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.67)	3.03 ↓ (3.22)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
37.6%

Draw
30.4%

Cerro Largo
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Largo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rentistas - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rentistas will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rentistas: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 2.

Recent matches Rentistas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerro Largo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerro Largo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Rentistas - Boston River	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Plaza Colonia - Rentistas	0:3 ✺
17.04.22	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
11.04.22	Montevideo City Torque - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLL
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.05.22	Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Danubio - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
22.04.22	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
08.04.22	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
30.07.21	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	1:3
06.02.21	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	2:1
06.11.20	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	0:0
16.08.20	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:1
16.03.14	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	3:1
20.10.13	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	2:3

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