Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:15	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	19:15	Tigo Sports
Usa	18:15	Fanatiz


	Cerro Porteño		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.60	6.00	Watch
	1.50	3.70	5.75
	1.49	3.95	6.25	Watch
	1.55	4.03	6.47
	1.6	3.82	5.6	Watch
	1.53	3.95	6.10
	1.56	3.87	5.90	Watch
	1.51	3.80	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.76)	3.84 ↑ (3.4)	5.98 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
60.5%

Draw
24.1%

2 de Mayo
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

26.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerro Porteño's performance.

2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 2 de Mayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerro Porteño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roffo M. (G) 16. Ramirez I. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 13. Benitez A. G. 31. Aliseda I. 5. Morel J. 34. Chena C. 11. Iturbe J. 27. Torres J. 19. Vegetti P.	1. Rossi N. (G) 23. Espinola A. 3. Villalba A. 21. Sosa P. (C) 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 19. Castro C. 10. Gomez A. 24. Romero O. 37. Delgadillo L. 27. Moya M. 25. Cervera T.
Substitutes
20. Almendra A. E. 21. Araujo S. 32. Bobadilla C. 2. Dominguez F. 18. Gamarra A. 30. Gimenez G. 40. Klimowicz M. 12. Martinez A. (G) 6. Merolla L. 26. Piris R. 7. Rodriguez D. 39. Servin L. J.	26. Aguayo A. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M. 11. Coronel U. 17. Delvalle P. 20. Diaz E. 16. Gomez M. 40. Gonzalez M. 12. Machado A. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 5. Saiz C. 4. Sanabria T. 9. Sanguina J.
Coaches
Costas G.	Ledesma E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Cervera T. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
25', Gomez A. 🟨,
45', Costas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morel J. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
46', Delgadillo L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
60', Torres J. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
60', Iturbe J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Gomez A. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
65', Chena C. ↓, Bobadilla C. ↑,
65', Rossi N. 🟨,
68', Gomez A. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
75', Cervera T. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
75', Castro C. ↓, Coronel U. ↑,
76', Moya M. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
78', Aliseda I. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
81', Diaz E. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 2.

Cerro Porteño has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

2 de Mayo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cerro Porteño may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Cerro Porteño is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteño has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro Porteño against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	2 de Mayo	16	8	5	3	18:17	1	29
7	Cerro Porteno	16	7	3	6	23:17	6	24

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro Porteño - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.15%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

2 de Mayo - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 20.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Copa Paraguay
30.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTW
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	2:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
22.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	2:1
04.04.26	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	3:0
07.02.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	0:0
11.10.25	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	0:0
30.07.25	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	3:2
24.05.25	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	1:1
23.03.25	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	1:1

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