Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)


	Resistencia		Sportivo Trinidense

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.2
	2.9	3	2.2
	3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.29	3.2	2.4
	3	3.25	2.2
	3.08	3.32	2.2
	3	3.15	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.72)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.25 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
30.3%

Draw
28.8%

Sportivo Trinidense
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rhuan (G) 16. Moreira J. (C) 2. Villalva A. 36. Adorno P. 19. Benitez M. 5. Quinonez A. 6. Candia W. 10. Colman J. 17. Maciel M. 24. Diaz E. 22. Ruiz Diaz R.	12. Samudio V. (G) 24. De la Cruz L. 23. Benitez C. 5. Vera J. 14. Mendoza S. 30. Ayala P. 13. Salcedo J. 18. Fernandez D. 11. Mana N. 10. Alvarez A. 9. Gimenez O. (C)
Substitutes
18. Aguilera Colman D. A. 1. Arzamendia M. (G) 32. Da Silva N. 39. Gonzalez A. 11. Lezcano H. 3. Ruan 7. Salinas R.	7. Arce P. 16. Arevalo R. 22. Arguello V. 15. Baez J. 21. Baez Mendoza R. 35. Delvalle P. 1. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G)
Coaches
Recalde C.	Arrua J.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Resistencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Resistencia have a series of guest games.

Sportivo Trinidense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Resistencia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.10.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	General Caballero JLM - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TLWWL
- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.09.23	Sportivo Trinidense - General Caballero JLM	0:3 ✺
24.09.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.09.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.09.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Trinidense	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
22.07.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	1:2
27.05.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	2:0
26.03.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.09.21	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	1:0
18.06.21	Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1
12.10.19	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	0:2

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