Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cesena		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.9	Watch
	2.1	2.87	4.1
	2.15	2.85	4
	1.93	3.12	4.41	Watch
	2.1	3	3.8
	2.13	3.13	3.81	Watch
	2.15	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)	2.96 ↓ (3.28)	4 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
44.8%

Draw
31.7%

Cittadella
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.7%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

29.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	41.2%	17.6%

Cesena - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Cittadella will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. (C) 24. Mangraviti M. 17. Adamo E. 35. Calo G. 30. Bastoni S. 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 10. Kargbo A. 9. Shpendi C.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 24. Carissoni L. 19. D'Alessio F. 17. Tronchin S. 23. Branca S. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 32. Masciangelo E. 7. Pandolfi L. 16. Vita A.
Substitutes
23. Antonucci M. 11. Ceesay J. 13. Celia R. 4. Chiarello R. 3. Curto M. 70. Francesconi M. 27. La Gumina A. 5. Mendicino L. 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 1. Pisseri M. (G) 20. Tavsan E.	13. Capradossi E. 10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 78. Maniero L. (G) 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Dal Canto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Calo G. 🟨,
22', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Branca S. 🟨,
60', Kargbo A. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
61', Berti T. ↓, La Gumina A. ↑,
66', Adamo E. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
69', Tronchin S. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
80', Shpendi C. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
80', Calo G. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
82', Amatucci F. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
85', Mendicino L. 🟨,
90+3', Pandolfi L. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cesena won 3.

Cesena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittadella is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cesena will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Injury) Capradossi E. (Injury) Casolari F. (Yellow Cards) Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury) Tessiore A. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Cesena: Shpendi C. (Ankle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cesena won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Carrarese - Cesena	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Cesena - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Juve Stabia - Cesena	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.12.24	Atalanta - Cesena	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Cesena - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Cittadella - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Spezia - Cittadella	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.11.24	Cittadella - Cesena	0:2
17.02.18	Cesena - Cittadella	0:1
19.09.17	Cittadella - Cesena	4:0
29.04.17	Cittadella - Cesena	2:3
10.12.16	Cesena - Cittadella	3:0
17.04.14	Cittadella - Cesena	1:0
17.11.13	Cesena - Cittadella	2:2

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