Match Info

ITALY: Coppa Italia - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Fox Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Italia 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+


	Atalanta		Cesena

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	12
	1.15	7.5	17
	1.18	7.3	14.5	Watch
	1.2	7.5	14
	1.19	7.33	13.71	Watch
	1.17	7	15
	1.19	7.5	14.5
	1.19	7.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.22)	7.33 ↑ (6.61)	14.46 ↑ (12.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
80.4%

Draw
13%

Cesena
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

14.3%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	6.5%	4.3%

Atalanta - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.02% – 99.38%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Patricio R. (G) 2. Toloi R. 4. Hien I. 19. Djimsiti B. 27. Palestra M. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 77. Zappacosta D. 24. Samardzic L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 32. Retegui M.	1. Pisseri M. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 17. Adamo E. 5. Mendicino L. 30. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 20. Tavsan E. 10. Kargbo A. 18. van Hooijdonk S.
Substitutes
16. Bellanova R. 44. Brescianini M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 5. Godfrey B. 3. Kossounou O. 31. Rossi F. (G) 6. Sulemana I. 48. Vlahovic V. 10. Zaniolo N.	23. Antonucci M. 14. Berti T. 35. Calo G. 11. Ceesay J. 4. Chiarello R. 3. Curto M. 7. Donnarumma D. 70. Francesconi M. 8. Hraiech S. 33. Klinsmann J. (G) 24. Mangraviti M. 19. Prestia G. 93. Siano A. (G)
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Zappacosta D. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
27', 3 - 0, Samardzic L. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
28', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
35', 4 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, Samardzic L. (A),
45', Toloi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Pasalic M. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
52', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
53', Bastoni S. 🟨,
54', 5 - 0, Brescianini M. ⚽, Toloi R. (A),
60', Bastoni S. ↓, Chiarello R. ↑,
60', Tavsan E. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
64', Hien I. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
64', Djimsiti B. ↓, Godfrey B. ↑,
71', 6 - 0, Samardzic L. ⚽, Zaniolo N. (A),
74', Ciofi A. ↓, Curto M. ↑,
75', Kargbo A. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
78', Patricio R. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
82', Adamo E. ↓, Hraiech S. ↑,
90', 6 - 1, Ceesay J. ⚽, Francesconi M. (A),

Preview

Atalanta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cesena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cesena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
14.12.24	Cagliari - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.24	Atalanta - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.24	Atalanta - Milan	2:1 ✺
02.12.24	Roma - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Young Boys - Atalanta	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Cesena - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Bari - Cesena	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Frosinone - Cesena	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Cesena - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Cittadella - Cesena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.04.15	Cesena - Atalanta	2:2
07.12.14	Atalanta - Cesena	3:2
Coppa Italia
28.11.12	Atalanta - Cesena	3:1
Italian Serie A
29.01.12	Cesena - Atalanta	N/A

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