Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cesena		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	5	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.6
	1.83	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.36	5.24
	1.82	3.31	5.02	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.42	4.58	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)	4.71 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
51.7%

Draw
28.2%

Nuova Cosenza
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Cesena - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Cosenza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 3. Curto M. 19. Prestia G. (C) 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ceesay J. 35. Calo G. 70. Francesconi M. 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C. 23. Antonucci M.	1. Micai A. (C) 55. Hristov A. 23. Venturi M. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 28. Kouan C. 39. Kourfalidis C. 31. Ricci G. 34. Florenzi A. 30. Mazzocchi S. 21. Zilli M.
Substitutes
17. Adamo E. 30. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 4. Chiarello R. 15. Ciofi A. 8. Hraiech S. 5. Mendicino L. 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 1. Pisseri M. (G) 20. Tavsan E. 18. van Hooijdonk S.	5. Camporese M. 19. Ciervo R. 15. Dalle Mura C. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 29. Sgarbi F. 32. Strizzolo L. 22. Vettorel T. (G)
Coaches
Mignani M.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Shpendi C. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
42', Kourfalidis C. 🟨,
43', Calo G. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Tavsan E. ⚽, Ceesay J. (A),
45+2', Micai A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Berti T. ⚽, Ceesay J. (A),
65', Zilli M. ↓, Strizzolo L. ↑,
65', Caporale A. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
65', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Ricciardi M. ⚽, Venturi M. (A),
75', Klinsmann J. 🟨,
76', Florenzi A. 🟨,
77', Kourfalidis C. ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
78', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
78', Calo G. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
83', Ceesay J. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
83', Antonucci M. 🟨,
83', Antonucci M. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
87', Adamo E. 🟨,
88', Ricci G. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
88', Strizzolo L. 🟨,
90+4', van Hooijdonk S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Cesena is a favorite.

There will not play in Cesena: Kargbo A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cosenza: Charlys (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury) Zilli M. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
07.12.24	Bari - Cesena	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Frosinone - Cesena	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Cesena - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Cittadella - Cesena	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTWW
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
07.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTWT

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