Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV


	Ceuta		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.2	2.57	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.95
	2.52	3.35	2.58	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.7
	2.65	3.2	2.76	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.5
	2.83	3.44	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.39)	3.31 ↓ (3.49)	2.65 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ceuta
36.2%

Draw
28.4%

Albacete Balompié
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Ceuta - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Albacete will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (C) 7. Ahmed A. 4. Caparros A. 14. Bodiger Y. 23. Anuar 12. Illescas M. 5. Youness 19. Jamelli 26. Bassinga A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.	1. Marino D. (G) 5. Moreno J. 23. Pepe 22. Lopez L. 21. Neva C. 3. Jogo 17. Melendez A. (C) 18. Villar J. 6. Pacheco A. 20. Obeng S. 10. Betancor J.
Substitutes
34. Betancourt A. 24. Cantero Y. 6. Hernandez C. 30. Josema 28. Peri (G) 37. Rueda A. 2. Sanchez M. 25. Sanchez S. 11. Schor I. 13. Vallejo G. (G)	36. Cantero A. (G) 8. Fernandez M. 15. Gamez F. 39. Garcia F. 2. Lorenzo 19. Rubio A. 24. Vallejo J.
Coaches
Romero J.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Bassinga A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Youness 🟨,
55', Anuar 🟨,
70', Pacheco A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
70', Villar J. ↓, Rubio A. ↑,
70', Moreno J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
75', Jamelli ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
75', Kone K. ↓, Betancourt A. ↑,
81', Pepe ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
83', Bassinga A. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
90+1', Youness ↓, Josema ↑,
90+1', Anuar ↓, Rueda A. ↑,
90+2', Melendez A. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).

Ceuta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Albacete is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ceuta: Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Kone K. (Ankle Injury) Matos Jose (Muscle Injury) Redruello Nimo C. (Injury) Zalazar K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Albacete: Agus Medina (Ankle Injury) Cedeno E. (Hamstring Injury) Lazo J. (Hip Injury) Lizoain R. (Injury) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Puertas A. (Injury) San Bartolome V. (Injury) Valverde V. (Surgery)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	FC Andorra - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Ceuta - Málaga	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Ceuta - Castellón	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sporting de Gijón - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ceuta - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLTWT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
15.05.26	Córdoba - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Albacete Balompié - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	FC Andorra - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Albacete Balompié - Ceuta	0:0

Upcoming Matches