Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 37

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Ceuta		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	2.01	Watch
	3.2	3.65	2.02
	3.26	3.9	2.08
	3.23	3.93	2.02	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2
	3.33	3.91	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.08)	3.81 ↑ (3.61)	2.03 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
29.1%

Draw
24.7%

Racing Santander
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.2%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.6%	14.3%	82.1%

Ceuta - Racing Santander Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 14. Bodiger Y. 3. Matos Jose 23. Anuar 12. Illescas M. 8. Zalazar K. 19. Jamelli 20. Campana J. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M.	13. Eriksson S. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu 5. Castro J. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 7. Guliashvili G.
Substitutes
17. Almenara G. 26. Bassinga A. 34. Betancourt A. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 27. Domenech M. 30. Josema 1. Lopez P. (G) 16. Redruello Nimo C. 2. Sanchez M. 25. Sanchez S. 5. Youness	8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 20. Camara S. 44. Chino 1. Ezkieta J. (G) 3. Garcia M. 16. Gonzalez F. 17. Mata J. 21. Ramon P. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 12. Villalibre A.
Coaches
Romero J.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Salinas J. 🟨,
19', Jamelli 🟨,
22', Castro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Campana J. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
47', Ahmed A. 🟨,
54', Anuar ↓, Youness ↑,
55', Jamelli ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
67', Mantilla A. ↓, Ramon P. ↑,
67', Zalazar K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
75', Gueye M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
75', Guliashvili G. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
78', Canales P. 🟨,
80', Illescas M. 🟨,
87', Canales P. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
90+2', Matos Jose ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Racing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ceuta: Cantero Y. (Red Card) Gonzalez D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Racing: Gonzalez F. (Ankle Injury) Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Mantilla A. (Muscle Injury) Sangalli M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.26	Zaragoza - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Ceuta - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Eibar - Ceuta	3:0 ✺
01.04.26	Burgos - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Ceuta - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLTW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
17.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Racing Santander - Almería	5:1 ✺
05.04.26	FC Andorra - Racing Santander	6:2 ✺
01.04.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.25	Racing Santander - Ceuta	4:1

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