Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 13

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Ceuta		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3	3.3	2.22	Watch
	2.96	3.43	2.38
	3.06	3.48	2.25	Watch
	2.97	3.53	2.37	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
30.6%

Draw
27.9%

Almería
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.1%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Ceuta - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Almería will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 25%). Almería (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Anuar 6. Hernandez C. 24. Cantero Y. 3. Matos Jose 8. Zalazar K. 5. Youness 19. Jamelli 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 18. de la Fuente K.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 29. Dzodic S. 17. Lopy D. 23. Embarba A. 11. Arribas S. 10. Melamed N. 19. Soko P.
Substitutes
17. Almenara G. 14. Bodiger Y. 4. Caparros A. 20. Escudero A. 15. Gonzalez D. 22. Kone K. 1. Lopez P. (G) 12. Obeng S. 11. Ortuno J. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 21. Vallejo M.	14. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 5. Clua S. 8. Gui Guedes 15. Hernandez A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 24. Robertone L. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Romero J.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Zalazar K. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
34', Dzodic S. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Embarba A. ⚽,
45+1', Jamelli 🟨,
45+9', Lopy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
46', Lopy D. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
46', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
46', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, de la Fuente K. (A),
61', 2 - 2, Arribas S. ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
70', Anuar 🟨,
73', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
74', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
79', Bonini F. 🟨,
82', Monte N. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Jamelli (Pen),
87', Embarba A. 🟨,
87', de la Fuente K. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
87', Zalazar K. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
88', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
88', Horta A. ↓, Thalys ↑,
90+7', Bodiger Y. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
90+8', Ahmed A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Ceuta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Almería is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ceuta has had a series of away games.

Almería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Muscle Injury) Horta A. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ceuta - Leganés	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Córdoba - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	La Unión - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Leonesa - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	Leganés - Almería	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Almería - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Almería - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Almería - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

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