Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Ceuta		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.34	3.56
	2.18	3.33	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.19	3.4	3.44
	2.02	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 (2.16)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.33 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
43.4%

Draw
28.6%

Cádiz
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

25.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Cádiz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ceuta - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cádiz will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Cádiz (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 50%). Cádiz (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 14. Bodiger Y. 5. Youness 20. Campana J. 26. Bassinga A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.	1. Gil D. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 14. Kovacevic B. 6. Recio I. 38. Arribas S. 15. Ortuno S. 24. Gonzalez J. 19. de la Rosa J. 23. Pascual A. 18. Diarra Y. 17. Camara D.
Substitutes
17. Almenara G. 34. Betancourt A. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 35. Fernandez F. G. 30. Josema 1. Lopez P. (G) 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 2. Sanchez M. 11. Schor I.	13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 21. Climent M. 16. Cordero A. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 3. Kouame R. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 33. Pereira R. 11. Suso
Coaches
Romero J.	Sergio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽,
38', Matos Jose 🟨,
40', de la Rosa J. 🟨,
43', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', de la Rosa J. ↓, Suso ↑,
59', Ortuno S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Kovacevic B. (Own goal),
66', Suso 🟨,
69', Gonzalez J. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
69', Diarra Y. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
71', Bassinga A. ↓, Betancourt A. ↑,
71', Pascual A. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
77', Campana J. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Marti R. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
88', Hernandez C. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
89', Kone K. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
89', Bodiger Y. ↓, Josema ↑,
90', Recio I. 🟨,
90+2', Kouame R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 16).

Ceuta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cádiz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ceuta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Illescas M. (Yellow Cards) Jamelli (Ankle Injury) Sanchez S. (Calf Injury) Zalazar K. (Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Diakite M. (International duty) Ocampo B. (Ankle Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ceuta: Campana J. (Injury) Kone K. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.26	Leganés - Ceuta	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Las Palmas - Ceuta	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mirandés - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Ceuta - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.26	Cádiz - Málaga	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	Mirandés - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar - Cádiz	3:1 ✺
23.02.26	Cádiz - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:0
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:3

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