Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ceuta		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.7
	2	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.99	3.51	3.79	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	2.05	3.48	3.76	Watch
	2.05	3.33	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	3.38 ↓ (3.54)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
47%

Draw
27.6%

FC Andorra
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Ceuta - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Andorra will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Anuar 6. Hernandez C. (C) 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 25. Sanchez S. 5. Youness 14. Bodiger Y. 22. Kone K. 8. Zalazar K. 12. Obeng S.	25. Yaakobishvili A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 5. Bombardo Poyato M. 14. Molina S. (C) 20. Vila M. 10. Alvaro 8. Akman E. 6. Villahermosa D. 29. Kim M. 11. Lauti 16. Jastin G.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed A. 26. Bassinga A. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 27. Domenech M. 20. Escudero A. 1. Lopez P. (G) 11. Ortuno J. 28. Peri (G) 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C.	23. Alende D. 7. Calvo A. 21. Cerda J. 18. Domenech M. 19. Garcia I. 24. Le Normand T. 9. Nieto M. 15. Olabarrieta A. 2. Petxa A. 1. Ratti N. (G) 22. Uzkudun A. 12. Yaakobishvili A.
Coaches
Romero J.	Manso C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Youness ⚽, Sanchez S. (A),
44', Obeng S. 🟨,
45', Kone K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Hernandez C. ⚽,
56', Carrique T. 🟨,
60', Jastin G. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
61', Bombardo Poyato M. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
69', Sanchez S. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
69', Obeng S. ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
75', Kone K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
75', Kim M. ↓, Nieto M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Nieto M. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Zalazar K. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
85', Bodiger Y. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
88', Villahermosa D. 🟨,
89', Villahermosa D. ↓, Le Normand T. ↑,
89', Lauti ↓, Uzkudun A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Andorra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ceuta might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Jamelli (Yellow Cards) Sanchez M. (Injury)

There will not play in Andorra: Alonso G. (Yellow Cards) Garcia I. (Injury) Merquelanz M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Andorra: Lauti (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Andorra	9	3	1	5	13:15	-2	10
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Ceuta - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Granada - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Ceuta - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTLW
- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	FC Andorra - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Valladolid - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	FC Andorra - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLLT

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