Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Eibar		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5.7	Watch
	1.55	4.2	6.48
	1.57	4.02	6	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.75
	1.58	3.96	6.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.79)	3.96 ↑ (3.46)	6.04 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
60.8%

Draw
23.6%

Ceuta
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eibar's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Eibar - Ceuta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Eibar (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 8. Nolaskoain P. 15. Jair 23. Arbilla A. (C) 6. Alvarez S. 16. Madariaga A. 18. Ares A. 20. Javier Marton 17. Corpas J. 9. Bautista J.	1. Lopez P. (C) 17. Almenara G. 6. Hernandez C. 15. Gonzalez D. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 12. Illescas M. 5. Youness 20. Campana J. 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.
Substitutes
4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 24. Bernat J. 2. Cubero S. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 10. Guruzeta J. 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J.	26. Bassinga A. 34. Betancourt A. 14. Bodiger Y. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 35. Fernandez F. G. 3. Matos Jose 10. Rodriguez C. 11. Schor I. 13. Vallejo G. (G) 8. Zalazar K.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Lopez P. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Javier Marton (Penalty Awarded),
43', Ares A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Hernandez C. (Own goal),
55', Alvarez S. 🟨,
62', Campana J. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
62', Alvarez S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
62', Javier Marton ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
62', Almenara G. ↓, Zalazar K. ↑,
69', Youness 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Bautista J. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
72', Corpas J. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,
72', Madariaga A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
75', Kone K. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
76', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
80', Nolaskoain P. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
80', Illescas M. ↓, Betancourt A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)

Eibar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ceuta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Eibar: Moreno M. (Injury) Villa T. (Injury)

There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Jamelli (Ankle Injury) Sanchez S. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Eibar will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eibar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Eibar - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.55%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Eibar	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	FC Andorra - Eibar	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Eibar - Burgos	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Leganés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWTW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.26	Burgos - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Ceuta - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Leganés - Ceuta	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Las Palmas - Ceuta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.25	Ceuta - Eibar	1:0

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