Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Ceuta		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.88
	2.35	2.85	2.87
	2.64	2.79	3.11
	2.44	2.97	3.04
	2.4	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3)	2.88 ↓ (3)	2.97 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
37.3%

Draw
31.8%

Rayo Majadahonda
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

32.7%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Majadahonda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Majadahonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceuta - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.02.23	Algeciras - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ferrol - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Ceuta - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.01.23	Ceuta - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWTWL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.02.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Badajoz - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ceuta	1:2

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