Match Info

National - Round 12

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Marseille Provence, FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Châteauroux		Aubagne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	3.1	2.98
	2.35	3.03	2.96	Watch
	2.37	3.05	3.02	Watch
	2.71	2.9	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.35)	3.02 ↓ (3.03)	2.92 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
37.8%

Draw
30.5%

Aubagne
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Châteauroux - Aubagne Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Aubagne will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Châteauroux (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 21. El Hriti A. (C) 6. Kelo G. 17. Magassa B. 12. Koembo J. 8. Dembele S. 11. Jean C. 25. Noc M. 22. Trinker T. 20. Bouaoune I. 19. Piquionne L.	30. Gil J. (G) 5. Chibani N. 26. Nehari M. (C) 15. Mimb Baheng R. 13. Abdallah M. 4. Diaby A. 23. Hamek M. 34. El Kaddouri B. 28. Bentoumi M. 14. Mayilla E. 7. Chaban K.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed A. 4. Diarra D. 24. Goncalves A. 5. Tamba M'Pinda R. 29. Zakouani H.	21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 3. Ben Hamed Y. 27. Daou R. 39. Doukara S. 31. Maghlout M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Abdallah M. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Chibani N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jean C. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Hamek M. ⚽, El Kaddouri B. (A),
60', Bouaoune I. ↓, Tamba M'Pinda R. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Nehari M. ⚽, Chaban K. (A),
68', El Hriti A. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
68', Piquionne L. ↓, Zakouani H. ↑,
68', Trinker T. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
69', Magassa B. 🟨,
77', Hamek M. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
78', Mayilla E. ↓, Doukara S. ↑,
82', Kelo G. 🟨,
82', Chaban K. 🟨,
84', Bentoumi M. ↓, Maghlout M. ↑,
87', Goncalves A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Châteauroux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 2:6.5).

Including home match between the teams, Châteauroux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
21.10.25	Concarneau - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Châteauroux - Caen	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Châteauroux - Stade Briochin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWTT
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
21.10.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Fleury 91 - Aubagne	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Aubagne - Versailles	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
25.04.25	Aubagne - Châteauroux	6:2
13.12.24	Châteauroux - Aubagne	2:7

Châteauroux - Aubagne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide