Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Châteauroux		Nancy

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.71
	4.5	3.45	1.76
	4.9	3.68	1.72
	4.75	3.51	1.69	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.7
	4.66	3.5	1.72
	4.5	3.45	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.4)	3.47 ↑ (3.24)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
20.1%

Draw
26.5%

Nancy
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Châteauroux's form might have worsened.

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nancy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Châteauroux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nancy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Châteauroux - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nancy will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 21. Chraibi O. 14. Clairicia M. 18. Duterte R. 17. Magnora A. 13. Mbengue A. 19. Michel T. 10. N'Goma F. 6. Pires V. 20. Samake W. 11. Versini G.	16. Sourzac M. (G) 8. Bouabdelli W. 6. Bouriaud T. 17. Carlier M. 19. Experience M. 7. Gomel B. 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 11. Sidibe O. 25. Thiare A. 9. Toure C.
Substitutes
26. Cervantes N. 16. Cognard B. (G) 33. Doumbouya M. 29. Tormin T. 34. Wandji N.	20. Bokangu B. 26. Cisse S. I. 10. Dabasse A. 18. Ebonog S. 22. Evans J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Pires V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Magnora A. 🟥,
64', Sidibe O. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
66', Clairicia M. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
73', Michel T. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Toure C. (Pen),
76', Gomel B. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
81', Versini G. ↓, Cervantes N. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Toure C. ⚽, Julloux A. (A),
87', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Cisse S. I. ↑,
87', Bouriaud T. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
87', Toure C. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 3.

Châteauroux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nancy is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nancy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nancy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17:33 (average 1.1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
01.11.24	Châteauroux - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Versailles - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
04.10.24	Concarneau - Châteauroux	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Épinal - Nancy	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Nancy - Paris 13 Atletico	1:2 ✺
01.11.24	Le Mans - Nancy	0:4 ✺
18.10.24	Quevilly - Nancy	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Nancy - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
10.05.24	Nancy - Châteauroux	1:3
12.01.24	Châteauroux - Nancy	0:1
17.03.23	Nancy - Châteauroux	0:1
12.10.22	Châteauroux - Nancy	3:1
French Ligue 2
27.02.21	Châteauroux - Nancy	1:4
31.10.20	Nancy - Châteauroux	2:1
13.12.19	Nancy - Châteauroux	2:1

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