Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Chacarita Juniors		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.5
	1.9	2.95	4.33
	1.95	3	4.33
	1.95	3	4.93
	1.89	3	4.91	Watch
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.91	3.02	4.47
	1.95	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	4.54 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
48.6%

Draw
30.9%

Arsenal Sarandí
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

29.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

28.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Chacarita Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arzamendia M. (G) 4. Vera M. 2. Gonzalez C. 6. Laurelli F. 3. Lazarte G. 7. Melendez M. 8. Figueroa V. (C) 5. Watson N. 10. Brandan F. 9. Rivero H. 11. Pombo C.	1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Lopez C. 2. Sosa A. 6. Alvarez A. 3. Cabrera I. 7. Sabatini I. 8. Trombini M. 5. Domingo N. 10. Brestt F. 9. Maziero A. 11. Frascone N.
Substitutes
17. Astina M. 16. Belloso M. 13. Daniele S. 15. Duran D. 14. Fernandez T. 12. Losas F. (G) 19. Pisano M. 18. Quiroz M. 20. Salinas R.	15. Ayala A. 13. Bernardi B. 20. Guzman L. 19. Ledesma J. 14. Ortiz T. 18. Pavia K. 16. Rios L. 17. Serrano V. 12. Zozaya J. (G)
Coaches
Fernandez M.	Bianco J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Figueroa V. 🟨,
24', Lopez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Brestt F. 🟨,
60', Figueroa V. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
60', Rivero H. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
61', Brandan F. 🟨,
63', Lopez S. ↓, Bernardi B. ↑,
68', Frascone N. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
68', Brestt F. ↓, Ayala A. ↑,
75', Melendez M. ↓, Astina M. ↑,
75', Brandan F. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
81', Maziero A. ↓, Ledesma J. ↑,
82', Domingo N. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez C. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).

Chacarita is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arsenal Sarandí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chacarita is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacarita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.08.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Chacarita Juniors	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.08.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	San Miguel - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Chacarita Juniors	3:1
06.10.18	Chacarita Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.18	Chacarita Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	2:2

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