Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Chacarita Juniors		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.66	3.4	5.4
	1.68	3.5	5.79
	1.7	3.31	5.7	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5.5
	1.66	3.4	5.74	Watch
	1.66	3.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.58)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)	5.54 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
55.6%

Draw
27.6%

Central Norte
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.9%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chacarita Juniors - Central Norte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chacarita (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Chacarita Juniors will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 4. Gonzalez J. (C) 2. Rebola A. 6. Errecalde G. 3. Quiroga A. 11. Ortiz T. 5. Bravo F. 8. Quiroz M. 7. Apa S. 9. Rivero H. 10. Blanco R.	1. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 4. Rinaudo S. 2. Castilla G. 6. Gonzalez C. 3. Sanz P. 8. Ribero M. 5. Gimenez E. (C) 10. Genes N. 11. Chavarria C. 7. Ferreyra L. 9. Acosta R.
Substitutes
13. Andueza F. 14. Chaves N. 18. Chocobar V. 19. Ciccolini L. 16. Figueroa V. 17. Melendez M. 15. Napolitano A. 20. Salinas R. 12. Strumia J. (G)	14. Alvacete J. 15. Banega T. 16. Battigelli A. 13. Berra T. 19. Berrondo A. 17. Bianciotti A. 18. Lesman G. 20. Tisera F. 12. Vazquez E. (G)
Coaches
Azconzabal J.	Zamarian F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Ribero M. 🟨,
32', Sanz P. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Rivero H. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Apa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Quiroz M. ↓, Napolitano A. ↑,
46', Gimenez E. ↓, Battigelli A. ↑,
48', Castilla G. 🟨,
56', Genes N. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
56', Chavarria C. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
65', Rivero H. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
66', Errecalde G. 🟨,
71', Acosta R. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Blanco R. (Pen),
77', Blanco R. ↓, Figueroa V. ↑,
77', Apa S. ↓, Melendez M. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Melendez M. ⚽,
83', Quiroga A. 🟨,
83', Lesman G. (Pen),
84', Rebola A. ↓, Andueza F. ↑,
90+1', Battigelli A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Chacarita is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Central Norte is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Chacarita is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.25	Almirante Brown - Chacarita Juniors	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Chacarita Juniors - Chaco For Ever	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Colón	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Temperley - Chacarita Juniors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLTWW
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.25	Central Norte - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
05.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Central Norte	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Central Norte - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Central Norte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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