Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	7	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.75
	1.56	3.6	6.2	Watch
	1.59	3.45	7.34
	1.58	3.43	7.13	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6
	1.6	3.3	7.01	Watch
	1.56	3.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	6.58 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
58.9%

Draw
26.9%

Central Norte
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.9%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.1%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Central Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Central Norte will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 5. Antonio I. 8. Munoz M. (C) 7. Andrada B. 10. Puch J. 11. Lencioni F. 9. Ferreyra B.	1. Gonzalez A. (G) 4. Regules I. 2. Gonzalez C. 6. Alvacete J. 3. Sanchez M. 5. Gimenez E. (C) 8. Romero F. 7. Ferreyra L. 10. Acosta R. 11. Banega T. 9. Bianciotti A.
Substitutes
15. Antonini F. 16. Bustos L. 13. Calderon E. 17. Cingolani L. 18. Gaggi E. 20. Galeano M. 14. Recalde M. 12. Rigamonti C. (G) 19. Servetto N.	15. Battigelli A. 17. Blanco E. J. 18. Lesman G. 20. Magno D. 16. Moravec M. 13. Paparelli R. 12. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 14. Sanz P. 19. Tisera F.
Coaches
Medran E.	Riggio V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Bianciotti A. 🟨,
24', Nadalin F. 🟨,
29', Acosta R. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Andrada B. ⚽,
41', Ferreyra L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bianciotti A. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
53', Andrada B. 🟨,
54', Andrada B. ↓, Gaggi E. ↑,
57', Gimenez E. 🟨,
65', Gimenez E. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
66', Romero F. ↓, Battigelli A. ↑,
75', Acosta R. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
78', Alvacete J. 🟨,
80', Puch J. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
80', Moravec M. 🟨,
85', Ferreyra B. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
85', Lencioni F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
86', Sanchez M. ↓, Magno D. ↑,
90+1', Tisera F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 14).

Gimnasia Mendoza is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Central Norte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia Mendoza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	1:1 ✺
17.03.25	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTTW
- CA Central Norte
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Central Norte	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.25	Central Norte - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chaco For Ever - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Central Norte - Mitre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWLL

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