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Current Win Probability
Chacarita Juniors 22.6%
Draw 49%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
34.3%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
34.1%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chacarita Juniors's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Strumia J. (G) 4. Gonzalez J. 2. Errecalde G. 6. Rebola A. 3. Migliore T. 11. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 5. Bravo F. 8. Ortiz T. 10. Figueroa V. (C) 9. Apa S.
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 5. Barboza N. 10. Antonini F. 7. Andrada B. 8. Romano N. 11. Lencioni F. 9. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
13. Acosta S. 18. Araujo A. 12. Avellaneda N. (G) 16. Blanco R. 20. Costa R. 14. Fernandez T. 17. Gargiulo V. 19. Gerez E. 15. Quiroz M.
14. Antonio I. 13. Carrera L. 18. Cingolani L. 17. Cortez I. 20. Galeano M. 15. Munoz M. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 19. Puch J. 16. Recalde M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ferreyra B. ⚽,
20', Bravo F. 🟨,
30', Melendez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Antonini F. ↓, Carrera L. ↑,
46', Andrada B. ↓, Antonio I. ↑,
46', Migliore T. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
46', Ortiz T. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
66', Romano N. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
66', Melendez M. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Costa R. ⚽,
76', Figueroa V. ↓, Quiroz M. ↑,
82', Barboza N. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
82', Munoz M. 🟨,
88', Ferreyra B. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
90', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
90', Gonzalez J. ↓, Gerez E. ↑,
90+3', Blanco R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 1.
Chacarita has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Gimnasia Mendoza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gimnasia Mendoza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Gimnasia Mendoza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chacarita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Argentina
World
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Strumia J. (G) 
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