Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	1.77	2.7	5.5	Watch
	2.05	2.7	4.1
	1.9	2.72	4.95	Watch
	1.9	2.82	5.83
	2.06	2.43	5.76	Watch
	1.84	2.83	5.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.26)	2.7 ↓ (2.76)	5.33 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
48.3%

Draw
34.3%

Gimnasia Jujuy
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

33.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

34.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's performance.

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia Jujuy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia Jujuy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Mendoza: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Cortez I. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 7. Esposito G. 8. Munoz M. 5. Antonio I. 10. Antonini F. 11. Lencioni F. 9. Ferreyra B.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Lopez D. 2. Palazzo B. 6. Sanchez S. 3. Noble M. 8. Camacho S. 5. Soria H. (C) 7. Dure F. 10. Molina F. 11. Fernandez G. 9. Quintana A.
Substitutes
19. Andrada B. 16. Barboza N. 13. Carrera L. 17. Cingolani L. 20. Galeano M. 14. Nadalin F. 15. Recalde M. 18. Romano N. 12. Sarmiento L.	12. Anchoverri S. (G) 13. Barreto R. 17. Barro L. 19. Casa M. 15. Cordoba J. 18. Juarez D. 20. Menendez C. 16. Trasante J. 14. Zapatiel N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Palazzo B. 🟨,
45+5', Dure F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Camacho S. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
56', Quintana A. ↓, Menendez C. ↑,
56', Molina F. ↓, Trasante J. ↑,
58', Esposito G. ↓, Romano N. ↑,
63', Antonini F. 🟨,
71', Saavedra F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
71', Antonini F. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
77', Sanchez S. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
80', Fernandez G. 🟨,
85', Cortez I. ↓, Nadalin F. ↑,
85', Antonio I. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
89', Noble M. ↓, Barreto R. ↑,
90', Romano N. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Gonzales ⚽,
90+3', Gonzales 🟨,
90+4', Ferreyra B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 4.

In recent matches, Gimnasia Mendoza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimnasia Jujuy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Gimnasia Mendoza has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gimnasia Mendoza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Mendoza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Chaco For Ever - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Mitre - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Colón	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0
17.04.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:3
13.10.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0
07.04.19	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2
13.09.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia Jujuy	4:1
27.04.15	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:1

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