The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chacarita Juniors 42.4%
Draw 30.5%
Ferro Carril Oeste 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
30.9%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
30.9%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
25%
16.7%
Chacarita Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chacarita: 30.4% โ 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Losas F. (G) 8. Vera M. 2. Oneto T. 6. Gonzalez C. 10. Pisano M. 4. Melendez M. 5. Watson N. 3. Chavez N. 7. Rodriguez Matias (C) 11. Pombo C. 9. Cocimano S.
1. Ruiz L. (G) 4. Lorenzo A. 2. Diaz G. (C) 6. Boolsen P. 3. Rodriguez M. 10. Blanco R. 8. Mussis F. 5. Fernandez Pinto J. 11. Garcia S. 7. Garcia F. 9. Retamar K.
Substitutes
13. Alvarez S. 18. Brandan F. 19. Chocobar V. 15. Fernandez T. 16. Nicastro A. 14. Perdomo L. 17. Quiroz M. 20. Rivero H. 12. Rolon B. (G)
13. Arena N. 15. Caceres F. 16. Di Lena F. 17. Esidin T. 14. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 12. Monllor M. (G) 20. Montiel N. 18. Mosca C. 19. Sosa A.
Coaches
Biggeri A.
Cordon J. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Pombo C. 🟨,
24', Chavez N. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Retamar K. ⚽,
36', Blanco R. 🟥,
36', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
45+4', Fernandez Pinto J. 🟨,
45+4', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chavez N. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Pisano M. (Pen),
66', Mussis F. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
66', Fernandez Pinto J. ↓, Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↑,
68', Pombo C. ↓, Brandan F. ↑,
71', Garcia F. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
72', Rodriguez Matias 🟨,
77', Gonzalez C. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
83', Garcia S. 🟨,
84', Pisano M. 🟨,
86', Garcia S. ↓, Di Lena F. ↑,
90+3', Mosca C. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently Chacarita have a series of guest games.
Chacarita will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Chacarita won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.