Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Maipú		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.82	4.33	Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.9	Watch
	2.14	2.92	4.2
	2.17	2.72	4.26	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.8
	2.05	2.76	4.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.2)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)	4.09 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
44.4%

Draw
32.9%

Chacarita Juniors
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

32.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

32%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Maipú will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 8. Bonfigli M. 3. de la Reta J. 10. Eggel M. (C) 4. Faggioli L. 9. Giacone J. 11. Gobetto J. 5. Mansilla G. 2. Paulini S. 7. Saccone F.	1. Bologna E. (G) 9. Barbieri J. 3. Chaves N. 8. Cuello A. 4. Facello F. 7. Melendez M. 6. Mottes G. 5. Perez T. 11. Ramirez S. 10. Sanabria M. 2. Velazquez J. (C)
Substitutes
19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 17. Nazar J. 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 20. Rivarola F. 18. Silva T. 16. Vera J.	17. Brun L. 16. Bustos L. 18. Cuevas J. 19. Jaime M. 13. Leyendeker M. 12. Losas F. (G) 15. Mellado M. 14. Pantaleone N. 20. Zarate T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Facello F. 🟨,
32', Sanabria M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Eggel M. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Mottes G. 🟨,
59', Ramirez S. ↓, Brun L. ↑,
62', Saccone F. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Melendez M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Brun L. ⚽, Sanabria M. (A),
67', Brun L. 🟨,
67', Facello F. ↓, Leyendeker M. ↑,
68', Giacone J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
76', Bonfigli M. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Saccone F. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Saccone F. ⚽, Eggel M. (A),
86', Galardi N. 🟨,
86', Eggel M. 🟨,
87', Eggel M. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
90', Cuello A. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,
90', Sanabria M. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Deportivo Maipú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo Maipú might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maipú - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.26	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Temperley - Deportivo Maipú	0:5 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWTW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Patronato Parana - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Quilmes - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chacarita Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	0:2
03.02.24	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Maipú	2:0
02.07.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Maipú	2:1
26.02.23	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	0:2
17.04.22	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	1:1
02.10.21	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Maipú	1:2
10.06.21	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	1:2

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