Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 26

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday


	Chacaritas		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.95	1.9
	3.7	3	1.95
	4.29	2.71	1.91
	4.2	2.8	1.95
	4.3	3.1	1.89	Watch
	4	3.05	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.46)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
22.2%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Macará
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

28%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Chacaritas - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Macará will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Macará could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Macará will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chacaritas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacaritas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.23	Búhos ULVR - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
09.08.23	Chacaritas - Manta	0:1 ✺
03.08.23	Imbabura - Chacaritas	0:1 ✺
19.07.23	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
12.07.23	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWLT
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.08.23	Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Deportivo Macará - Vargas Torres	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Independiente Juniors - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Búhos ULVR	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
02.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Chacaritas	2:1
23.03.23	Chacaritas - Deportivo Macará	0:1

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