Match Info
Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 5Date: 25 September 2025, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
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Vargas Torres |
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Chacaritas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.32 |
4.55 |
9.55 |
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1.79 |
4.03 |
3.74 |
Watch |
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1.31 |
4.3 |
9.7 |
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1.5 |
3.75 |
5.66 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.5) |
4.16 ↑ (3.75) |
7.16 ↑ (5.66) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vargas Torres 64% | Draw 22.8% | Chacaritas 13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)Vargas Torres - Chacaritas Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Vargas Torres (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 2.Vargas Torres is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).Chacaritas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Vargas Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Chacaritas has had a series of home games. In this match, Vargas Torres is the undisputed favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Vargas Torres won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 10.06.25 | Chacaritas - Vargas Torres | 3:3 | | 03.04.25 | Vargas Torres - Chacaritas | 0:0 | | 17.10.24 | Vargas Torres - Chacaritas | 4:2 | | 14.05.24 | Chacaritas - Vargas Torres | 0:1 | | 20.03.24 | Vargas Torres - Chacaritas | 1:1 | | 10.09.23 | Chacaritas - Vargas Torres | 3:1 | | 19.07.23 | Vargas Torres - Chacaritas | 2:0 |
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