Match Info

Date: 2 March 2021, Tuesday


	Chambly		Troyes

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.45
	5.8	4.1	1.5	Watch
	5.8	3.95	1.51
	6.55	4.21	1.54
	7	4	1.5	Watch
	6.45	4.3	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (5.57)	4.14 ↑ (3.59)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chambly
14.9%

Draw
22.7%

Troyes
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

26.1%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.3%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chambly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Troyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	7.3%	75.6%

Chambly - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Chambly will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Troyes will win (votes: 31 - 75.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 62.5% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1).

Chambly has a good chance of relegated (61%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Troyes has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a chance of win league (30%).

Chambly has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Troyes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Troyes is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chambly won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chambly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
27.02.21	Dunkerque - Chambly	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Chambly - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
13.02.21	Clermont - Chambly	1:0 ✺
05.02.21	Chambly - Sochaux	1:4 ✺
02.02.21	Châteauroux - Chambly	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
27.02.21	Troyes - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Valenciennes - Troyes	2:2 ✺
13.02.21	Troyes - Rodez	2:1 ✺
06.02.21	Troyes - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
02.02.21	Clermont - Troyes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.11.20	Troyes - Chambly	2:2
22.11.19	Troyes - Chambly	0:4
Club Friendly
04.07.18	Troyes - Chambly	4:1
Coupe De France
15.11.14	Chambly - Troyes	1:2

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