Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Chambly		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5.75	3.9	1.53
	6	4	1.5	Watch
	5.6	4	1.52
	6.1	4.27	1.56
	6	4	1.55	Watch
	6.15	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (5.31)	4.05 ↑ (3.74)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chambly
15.6%

Draw
23.2%

Auxerre
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

25.1%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

15.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chambly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chambly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auxerre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	14.3%	50%

Chambly - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Chambly will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Auxerre will win (votes: 14 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1 (Promotion)).

Chambly has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Auxerre has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chambly is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auxerre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chambly won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chambly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
13.02.21	Clermont - Chambly	1:0 ✺
05.02.21	Chambly - Sochaux	1:4 ✺
02.02.21	Châteauroux - Chambly	4:0 ✺
30.01.21	Chambly - Caen	4:2 ✺
27.01.21	Chambly - Niort	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWT
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
13.02.21	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.02.21	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.02.21	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
02.02.21	Auxerre - Toulouse	3:1 ✺
30.01.21	Troyes - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.10.20	Auxerre - Chambly	4:0
14.02.20	Auxerre - Chambly	0:0
13.09.19	Chambly - Auxerre	1:4

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