Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Troyes		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.55
	2.65	3.35	2.66
	2.85	3.2	2.5
	2.92	3.3	2.65
	2.8	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.31)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	2.56 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
33.7%

Draw
29.1%

Toulouse
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.5%	63.7%	19.8%

Troyes - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 15 - 16.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 18 - 19.8%). It will Tie (votes: 58 - 63.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.8% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Troyes has the most likely position - 20 (9.12%), has project points - 43, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 19 (9.59%), has project points - 42, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 54, importance 40, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0.

Toulouse is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Troyes: Azamoum K. (Knee Injury) Conte A. (Injury)

There will not play in Toulouse: Fares C. (Surgery) Restes G. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
07.08.22	Montpellier - Troyes	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Auxerre - Troyes	1:0 ✺
20.07.22	Le Havre - Troyes	0:3 ✺
16.07.22	Metz - Troyes	4:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.05.22	Lorient - Troyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLT
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
07.08.22	Toulouse - Nice	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Osasuna - Toulouse	3:3 ✺
16.07.22	Real Sociedad - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
12.07.22	Toulouse - Pau	2:0 ✺
02.07.22	Toulouse - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.02.21	Troyes - Toulouse	1:1
03.10.20	Toulouse - Troyes	0:0
French Ligue 1
27.01.18	Toulouse - Troyes	1:0
09.09.17	Troyes - Toulouse	0:0
07.05.16	Toulouse - Troyes	1:0
02.12.15	Troyes - Toulouse	0:3
16.02.13	Toulouse - Troyes	2:2

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